POST TYPE · TAKE A POSITION
Say what will be true in one to three years, show the signals, and tell the reader what to do this quarter if you are right.
THE SHORT ANSWER
Line 1 is the prediction with a date in it. Then the two or three signals it rests on, one line each. Then what the reader should do now if you are right — and one line on what would prove you wrong. The date and the falsifier are what make it credible.
The prediction
With a date.
The signals
Two or three, one line each.
What to do now
This quarter, if it is right.
What would prove it wrong
One line.
Copy it and fill in the brackets.
By [year], [prediction]. The signals: - [signal] - [signal] If I am right, this quarter: [action]. I am wrong if [what would disprove it].
EXAMPLE — written for a made-up recruitment consultant.
By 2028, most small firms will hire for a skill test first and a CV second. The signals: - Clients ask us for a task before they ask for references. - Candidates now send work samples without being asked. If I am right, this quarter: write a 30-minute task for your next hire. I am wrong if CV screening tools win back the trust of hiring managers.
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Written 6 October 2026 by PaperFlight. The example business and its numbers are made up.